Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.662500 0.851682 1.064871 1.320037 1.614288 1.940245 2.325870
2025-07-06 0.375030 0.598748 0.885893 1.268137 1.750544 2.326832 3.054761
2025-07-13 0.224746 0.453012 0.786826 1.276010 1.941437 2.784328 3.901445
2025-07-20 0.132800 0.347447 0.706716 1.282748 2.119076 3.230714 4.760823
2025-07-27 0.070160 0.254195 0.613325 1.244778 2.220545 3.575656 5.503874
2025-08-03 0.034415 0.186088 0.536205 1.210206 2.313101 3.904859 6.234648
2025-08-10 0.017034 0.144723 0.492350 1.217441 2.461877 4.314138 7.085550
2025-08-17 0.006145 0.103735 0.430821 1.177893 2.526986 4.599784 7.770585
2025-08-24 0.002768 0.088351 0.423115 1.236054 2.752833 5.129816 8.815447
2025-08-31 0.000680 0.068063 0.391922 1.239761 2.883457 5.518297 9.666479
2025-09-07 0.000196 0.061064 0.397227 1.319882 3.150595 6.124841 10.849270
2025-09-14 0.000015 0.051910 0.390530 1.371429 3.368279 6.660097 11.939361
2025-09-21 NaN 0.041049 0.371861 1.394721 3.540265 7.136770 12.967646
2025-09-28 NaN 0.028232 0.333678 1.363559 3.607601 7.448079 13.757917
2025-10-05 NaN 0.021528 0.317446 1.383677 3.772730 7.922783 14.805910
2025-10-12 NaN 0.015901 0.300144 1.396936 3.923739 8.377486 15.832045
2025-10-19 NaN 0.009741 0.267504 1.359766 3.969523 8.656337 16.592401
2025-10-26 NaN 0.005574 0.238360 1.324589 4.014504 8.932800 17.352748
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003578 0.224534 1.333094 4.150320 9.367448 18.368085
2025-11-09 NaN 0.001614 0.197706 1.291397 4.173842 9.606338 19.077578
2025-11-16 NaN 0.001256 0.200695 1.353535 4.428358 10.256431 20.451650
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000620 0.188383 1.357592 4.552927 10.679190 21.468738
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000551 0.197294 1.442870 4.865099 11.442696 23.044051